This quote comes from the late statistician George Box. What Box meant is that all models are imperfect representations of reality because the factors are by definition simplified. However, simplified factors can still be valuable for providing insight and understanding in predicting real-world phenomena. Technology cycles are the perfect example of Box’s quote. Scroll on …

Understanding the cycles are critical

Understanding technology innovation cycles has become increasingly critical. The innovation cycles coherently explain why industrialized nations have these days become mired in low growth. And even this low growth is for the most part being driven by deficit spending. The economic impact to the middle class could not be anymore acute as the majority are working for wages which are anything but living wages. This has naturally given rise to anger and populism.

Why? Click the textbox below to get the context and the condensed explanation for how technology cycles are the major driver for the world as it has evolved since the onset of the Industrial Revolution.

The Websites Mission

Technology cycles (aka long waves or Kondratievs), have gone “Hollywood.” This means the mountain of misinformation is growing. The primary mission of this site is to house a clear history for the models. While dispelling the myths which have grown up around them. Secondarily, for those looking for solutions to current problems, this information could not be more relevant. The reference material is also intended as a potential spark in new thinking.

Relevance

History

The Long Depression

Depressions

Biographies

A 5th cycle career

To Know More

AI Today & Tomorrow

Today AI is being credited with everything good and bad. The reality is AI is very immature today. As it matures, the ability to train it AI to model the technology cycles will become increasingly feasible. Particularly if AI is given logic and data from more than one way to ascertain the outlines of the technology cycles. This is the last mission of this site. Link

Know More About How Economics Can Be Updated

What can be achieved

Evolutionary economics is not yet mainstream economic canon. Many believe that understanding core innovation cycles are more germane than macro economics models. Utilizing the tech-cycles as the baseline for the industrial era could provide tremendous insights and breakthroughs in the rising field of evolutionary economics.

Alternative methodology for validating technology cycles

There are new and interesting methodologies validating the existence of the great technology surges. One way is to demonstrate how technological innovation quite literally invented modernism.

The Technology Cycles Visualization Experiments

Examining technology cycles impacts visually. The clarity of these visualization studies can be quite remarkable.

Began 1980s

technology cycles 1980s visual experiments

De-industrialization

Codex Studies

technology studies the Codex studies

Tech impact on art

Post-Mod Prayers

Technology cycles postmodern prayer series

Tech impact on music

Eyewitness Series

Technology cycles eyewitness series

Eyewitness series